Early Trends Show Surprises in Key State Elections
May 04, 2026
Initial counting trends in the Assembly elections across West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Assam, Kerala, and the Union Territory of Puducherry indicate several unexpected developments as results continue to unfold.
In West Bengal, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has taken a surprising lead, ahead in around 192 of the 293 constituencies where counting is underway. The ruling Trinamool Congress trails behind with leads in about 94 seats, marking a significant shift from previous electoral patterns in the state.
Tamil Nadu has witnessed a dramatic turn, with newly formed Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor C. Joseph Vijay, emerging as the frontrunner. The party is leading in 112 of the 234 seats. The opposition AIADMK follows with leads in 58 constituencies, while the ruling DMK is in third place with 47 seats. Other parties, including PMK and Congress, are trailing with single-digit leads.
In Assam, the BJP continues to maintain a strong position. The party has already won 6 seats and is leading in 73 more, while its ally AGP has secured 1 seat and is ahead in 8. The Congress is leading in 24 constituencies, with other regional parties also making gains.
Kerala shows a different trend, with the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) taking a comfortable lead. Congress has won 6 seats and is ahead in 55 constituencies. The ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF), led by the CPM, has won 4 seats and is leading in 23, while its allies hold additional leads. The BJP has a marginal presence with leads in 2 seats.
In Puducherry, partial results indicate that the ruling All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) has won 8 seats and is leading in 1. Congress has won 1 seat and is ahead in 6, while DMK, BJP, AIADMK, and independent candidates have secured a mix of wins and leads across the remaining constituencies.
